Senin, 28 Juli 2014

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Warhammer Armies: SkavenFrom Games Workshop

A Warhammer Armies supplement for Warhammer, the game of fantasy battles.

  • Sales Rank: #540140 in Books
  • Brand: Games Workshop
  • Published on: 2009-10-01
  • Number of items: 5
  • Dimensions: 10.83" h x .24" w x 7.87" l, 1.05 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 96 pages

Most helpful customer reviews

1 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Worth it for serious Skaven players
By Joey Nova
If you're gouing to play Warhammer Fantasy with the Skaven armies, this is an absolute necessity. Great army to field if you like playing the bad guys!

0 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By Stephen L.
Interesting background and rules for Skaven. It's fun to go back and see how they were before the change into Age of Sigmar.

1 of 6 people found the following review helpful.
Get 2 ... I did
By Michael E Crye
No leadership in this box, but great base for a Skaven army builder. You need so many rats to field a sizable army and this comes in handy to build up those ranks quickly.

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Adventures of a Kid Magician: From the Magical Life of Justin Flom, by Scott Flom, Judy Flom-Hill, Justin Flom

Adventures of a Kid Magician is Zach's private journal, detailing how magic gets Zach both into and out of trouble as he learns life lessons! Along with Zach's thrilling stories and eye-catching sketches, each adventure comes with a secret magic code that will take you to an exclusive online video of the actual magic tricks used in the adventure! You too will experience the excitement of fooling and impressing your friends with top magician Justin Flom's creative instruction.

  • Sales Rank: #53412 in Books
  • Published on: 2016-06-01
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 8.10" h x .90" w x 5.50" l, .0 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 208 pages

About the Author
Justin Flom s path to crafting his own unique brand of magic has taken a circuitous route from his home town of Eden Prairie, Minnesota to Branson, Missouri to the SyFy Channel to some of the largest arenas in the country to being one of the first magicians to focus on social media on his way to becoming one of America s most sought-after magicians surpassing entertaining 100,000,000 fans in 2015. What sets Justin Flom apart from most other magicians is the simplicity of his magic and the fact that he cracked the code on doing close-up magic on giant stages. He holds the distinction of being the first magician ever to perform card tricks for a sold out crowd at the fabled Madison Square Garden.


Scott Flom is magic. Not because he's a magician, but because he's found time to nurture his passion for magic all while being a successful salesman, entrepreneur, husband, and father.  Scott was fifteen years old when he began practicing simple magic tricks with his older brother, Larry. Soon this hobby became a way of life as Larry used magic in his job as a history teacher and Scott and his career as a salesman. Using his creative skills and building relationships, Scott was soon one of the top salesman for his company nationally. As Scott and his wife Lisa began raising a family, each child was taught life lessons through magic and variety arts. People would visit from all over the country to spend time at the Flom house, as you never knew what would unicycle or juggle by the dinner table. He built his home with secret passageways, talking wall fixtures, and even a bowling alley. Scott is still a top salesman, he is still building magic into his home, and he still sharing life lessons through magic. He would tell you his whole life has been an amazing magical adventure. As he often says, "God promises to give you more than you can imagine, and I have a great imagination!"

Judy Flom-Hill is the proud aunt and godmother of Justin, and she has marveled at his magical prowess from the time he was two years old and starring in his family's magic productions. Her older brother, Larry, and her younger brother, Scott, awed her with their amazing feats of magic, the secrets of which they never divulged. Justin is now the third generation of Flom men to amaze and delight.  She is the author of two suspense novels under the name of Judith Shoemaker-Hill. Writing Lady Lazarus and Know Thine Enemy was an exhilarating experience, but collaborating with her brother and nephew was a new and wonderful literary joyride. Hopefully you will have as much fun reading these adventures as they had creating them.

Drew Blom is an illustrator, designer, and art director. He specializes in children's books, comics, and graphic novels, illustrative logo design, and caricature. His work has been published in over a dozen books, and has been featured in Venture Beat and The Washington Post. Drew currently lives in Minneapolis with his wife, Liz, and their three children.

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
what a fun book!!!
By P. Bartolini
My 6th grader loves this book. He loves the story and then the interaction online. We love watching all of Justin's videos and I'm thankful I can point to Justin as a man of God with integrity for my son to watch. You're the best Justin!!!!

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By teacher
It only took 2 days to get this book. My granddaughter is excited to start reading it.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
But he enjoyed it.
By Dawn
Actually it was for one of my grandsons. But he enjoyed it.

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Jumat, 25 Juli 2014

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Having lost both her parents when she was just sixteen, a sizeable inheritance paves the way for 23-year-old Karen to hire 'parents' and to attend a strict high school in the guise of a 16-year-old. Her new 'parents' prove to be strict, just as she had wished, but as her fantasy of being spanked becomes reality, she finds it far from enjoyable.

In addition to the spankings and occasional mouth-soaping received at 'home', Karen also finds herself on the receiving end of the high school Principal's paddle. Despite the strict regime, Karen and her surrogate parents form a strong, loving bond and all seems to be going well until Dave, a neighbour from her past, recognises her. It turns out, however, that he may be the ideal person to provide the strong disciplinary figure Karen needs in her life. Their relationship develops and Dave proposes, but Karen's answer hinges on three conditions...

  • Sales Rank: #391654 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2015-05-25
  • Released on: 2015-05-25
  • Format: Kindle eBook

Most helpful customer reviews

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Karen is a girl who just wants a new beginning!
By Julianna
Karen is a young woman on her own. Orphaned at 16 when her parents died, she never finished high school. Now 23 years old, her uncle dies, leaving her more money than she knows what to do with. Having many regrets for her lost family, lost youth and lost education Karen decides she can make it better. With her youthful appearance Karen decides she wants to return to high school and redo the portion of her life she lost when her parents died. So she finds a nice couple to be her parents and starts over, bound to do it right this time. Her second chance comes at a price as she is pretending to be 16 years old again but this time, she knows what she wants out of life.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By Amazon Customer
I adored this regression story and immediately went after other writing by the same author.

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Selasa, 22 Juli 2014

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A brilliant, heartbreaking novel from a Canadian icon that tackles the theme of debt, and what we owe each other, through three unforgettable characters. This is Richards' best and most complex work since his Giller-winning Mercy Among the Children, and a fitting companion to that novel.
     Howard, Evan and Ian are inseparable as boys--so much so that one night, abandoned in the forest by the careless adults around them, and raging against society and the uncaring gods others worship, they seal their undying brotherhood with a blood bond. But soon after, a horrific accident scars each of them in a different way, testing their bonds and leaving each with a debt to be paid. As adults, seeking to rise above debt and advance in life, each man decides upon a very different path--but over time, all three discover they are tied to each other in intricately tangled, sometimes violent, and surprising ways that none of them has been wise enough to foresee.
     In Crimes Against My Brother, literary legend David Adams Richards is at his finest, reprising some of his most complex and beloved characters (such as Sydney Henderson from Mercy Among the Children), introducing unforgettable new ones (such as the beautiful but fatally foolish Annette Brideau; and the wily, charming, money-hungry manipulator Lonnie Sullivan), and weaving a tale of such force, gravitas, complexity, universality, and compassionate understanding that he reaffirms his status as a master storyteller who has, book by book, used his rare genius to create an entire, teeming universe alongside a river in a small northern part of the world.

  • Sales Rank: #2894781 in Books
  • Published on: 2014-05-13
  • Released on: 2014-05-13
  • Formats: Deckle Edge, International Edition
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.53" h x 1.37" w x 6.65" l,
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 416 pages

Review
“Crimes Against My Brother takes us through a long series of petty betrayals, crushing heartbreaks, loneliness and death. . . . David Adams Richards has again proven his mastery.”
—National Post

“Richards weaves a complex, heartbreaking tale. . . . New readers will find it a powerful introduction to his work.”
—Winnipeg Free Press 
 
"Tragedy and cruelty are rife in the fictional universe of David Adams Richards, one of Canada’s most prolific and gifted writers. Perhaps that’s why he begins his remarkable new novel with an admonition to the reader: “[T]ake heart and know that no betrayal is so self-infatuated, self-serving or brutal it cannot, in the end, be overcome.”. . . Yes, gird yourself, but do take heart. For Richards’ true interest is not in the terrible things we all do, but rather the ways in which we struggle to live with the consequences. . . . Crimes Against My Brother is grandly ambitious and beautifully written . . . an astute, compelling and compassionate exploration of the human spirit.”
—Toronto Star

“Over his long career, David Adams Richards has carved out a unique body of work, in the process developing a form of literary expressionism that illuminates the moral depths—and depravity—of several communities along New Brunswick’s Miramichi River. . . . Like Dostoevsky, Richards reveals his characters through how they talk—to each other, to themselves, and to whatever higher power rules their troubled lives. . . . No conscience is left untested, but Richards also bestows tenderness and compassion on the troubled blood brothers. It makes for compelling reading.”
—Quill & Quire

“It’s no stretch to say that David Adams Richards is the Feodor Dostoyevsky of Canadian fiction, a comparison that honours both the moral stance of his writing and its distance from the literary mores of Toronto and Vancouver. . . . [in Crimes Against My Brother], his writing remains brutally stark and disturbingly effective.”
—Georgia Straight

“Reading Richards' latest novel, Crimes Against My Brother, is like being at a train crossing in a downpour late at night and witnessing a locomotive barreling down on a car stalled on the tracks. . . . As rich as his novels are in terms of the specifics of time and the particulars of place, his themes are timeless and universal because they expose humanity at its most elemental.”
—The Record


Praise for David Adams Richards:

"[Incidents in the Life of Markus Paul] is brilliantly conceived, and flawlessly executed. This is Richards at the height of his powers, which is very high indeed. The word masterpiece is not too strong." --National Post

About the Author
DAVID ADAMS RICHARDS is the author of numerous acclaimed and prize-winning novels, including Incidents in The Life of Markus Paul, which was published to rave reviews; The Lost Highway, which was nominated for the Governor General's Literary Award for Fiction and the Scotiabank Giller Prize in 2008; The Friends of Meager Fortune, which won the Commonwealth Writers' Prize for Best Book; and Mercy Among the Children, which won the 2000 Giller Prize and was a finalist for the GG and the Trillium Award. He is also the author of the celebrated Miramichi Trilogy: Nights Below Station Street, winner of the Governor General's Literary Award; Evening Snow Will Bring Such Peace, winner of the Canadian Authors Association Award; and For Those Who Hunt the Wounded Down. The author lives in Fredericton, New Brunswick.

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By Kenneth Hackett
David is the best writer in the world

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
A classic Richard's novel
By Peter Dove
Classic David Adams Richards: dark, despondent but ultimately redemptive.

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Selasa, 15 Juli 2014

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  • Published on: 2007-07-26
  • Binding: Hardcover

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Sabtu, 12 Juli 2014

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The Coming Jobs War, by Jim Clifton

Drawing on 75 years of Gallup studies and his own perspective as the company's chairman and CEO, Jim Clifton explains why jobs are the new global currency for leaders. More than peace or money or any other good, the business, government, military, city, and village leaders who can create good jobs will own the future.

The problem is that leaders don't know how to create jobs, especially in America. What they should do is recognize that the world is in a war for jobs. It seems that leadership has lost the will to win, especially in America, but this is a competition for our lives.

To win, leaders need to compete. Everyone does. The public school system needs to inculcate kids with the knowledge they'll need to compete in the jobs war. The business community needs to double the psychological engagement of workers so that it can compete with cheaper labor. The healthcare system must stop wasting the resources that we need to spend on job competition. Society needs to realize that entrepreneurs, not government, are the source of new jobs and put all its energy behind them. Perhaps most importantly, leaders need to recognize universities, mentors, and especially cities as a supercollider for job creation.

If that can be done - and it can be done, leaders have done it before - new good jobs will result. There's not moment to waste: the war has already begun.

  • Sales Rank: #34711 in Audible
  • Published on: 2012-11-14
  • Format: Unabridged
  • Original language: English
  • Running time: 291 minutes

Most helpful customer reviews

154 of 174 people found the following review helpful.
Too simplistic to be compelling
By Alan R. Cheville
I bought this book after a friend who is a voracious reader mentioned it was what she was currently reading and seeing the many five star reviews. I had reasonable expectations despite the fact I am leery of any conversation that frames itself using the word "War". Unfortunately for me this book did not live up to its five star rating or my expectations.

The "Coming Jobs War" essentially is a plan to avert societal collapse. While I agree with many of the prescriptions that Jim Clifton brings forth throughout the book, the book is just that- prescriptive in both tone and content. The book is written in the style of a bad self-help book or perhaps like the legion of "how to win in business" type books. As in such books "The Coming Jobs War" makes a sweeping generalization which is then supported by vague statements using pseudo-scientific mumbo-jumbo.

While elements of the plan to avert societal collapse make sense, and many I agree with, they are presented in a linear, deterministic manner which completely miss the complex, systemic approaches that will be needed to address the issues the book seeks to contribute its voice to solving. Even worse, this book fails to provide much data to back up its claims or meaningfully acknowledge other thinkers and theories that supportable or refute the claims being made. While there is an extensive list of references at the end, they exist independent of the rest of the book (at least in the Kindle edition I read).

"The Coming Jobs War" suffers in other ways that alienated me as a reader from the important (and likely valid) points raised:
- Entrepreneurs are given mythic, superhero status. The impact, societal benefit, or long term sustainability of the entrepreneur's idea is irrelevant. Rather entrepreneurs earn their superhero status by their willingness to persist and business acumen. This is disingenuous at best, and seemed even more egregious since I'd just finished "Redirect: The Surprising New Science of Psychological Change" which has lots of case studies of the harm persistent, good intentioned, and passionate individuals can cause.
- The various chapters of the book are rife with inconsistencies and contradictions. Depending on where you are in the book either creation of good jobs, security, or whatever topic the current chapter covers are the number one priority to be addressed.
- The book at times seems a marketing screed for Gallup; the reader gets the impression all good policy ideas originated with Gallup.
- It is not clear what audience this book was written for. If I had to guess it would be a marketing executive's caricature of a business leader or policy maker, but certainly not a scientist of any stripe or others familiar with policy issues. However, given the number of five star ratings it must resonate with many readers.

In summary, if you like books with simple direct messages, don't care about the provenance of ideas as much as the ideas themselves, and want simple answers to complex problems you will likely enjoy this book. On the other hand those who take a more complex and nuanced view of society might want to check out the book from the local library, cull the key ideas from the last summary chapter, and save time, money, and a painful read. Honestly, it really worth one star, but I give it a second since some of the ideas can stimulate much needed dialog.

84 of 106 people found the following review helpful.
A book every American should read
By WEK
There are many things about this fascinating new book from Gallup Chairman Jim Clifton that will stop you in your tracks, but the most profound for me is that the current state of our country, and perceived prospects for the future, has redefined the American dream. No longer are peace, family, independence and freedom of religion at the top of the list for most Americans. It's having a good job.

Some of the information Clifton reveals is staggering, like the fact that 40-50 years ago Detroit was the richest city in the world, but because of poor local leadership over the last several decades hundreds of thousands of good jobs have been lost and the city has become a socioeconomic disaster. Or that 20 years ago passage of the Gore Act gave US companies the lead in commercializing the internet - and attracting top technical and entrepreneurial talent from around the world -- something that has accounted for virtually all the growth in the US economy since the mid 90s.

Clifton's writing is compact, thought provoking, motivational, scary and realistic. But it's also hopeful. It's a compelling book based on years of Gallup polling and research and a must read for everyone who cares about the future of our communities, cities and country.

14 of 16 people found the following review helpful.
Fabulous, brief, and probably not what you want to hear . . . but read it anyway!
By Reed P.
I read many online reviews before downloading this book. Both sides of the political spectrum seemed to hate it, arguing that it is over simplistic and just plain wrong-headed or biased. Frankly, that's exactly why I found myself curled up non-stop reading the entire book in one sitting. It is NOT politically correct, sure. But Clifton's observations merit serious consideration. To anger the right wing, he argues that with GDP driving jobs, and with "good" jobs driving the economy, significant cuts in the federal budget will be counterproductive, both in the short and longer term. A smaller government cuts off vital support to the many services and supports that a growing economy needs (pre-K through higher education, basic scientific research, safe streets, etc.). To aggravate the left wing, he makes a good case that "taxing the rich" simply cannot generate enough revenue to even come close to making up for fiscal shortfalls, so entitlement programs must inevitably be dialed down. Then, his take on healthcare will offend just about anyone who is not at an ideal body weight, doesn't exercise, eschews preventive medical exams, and wants to claw out every last day of life in an expensive terminal illness. Well, as a medical industry executive for the past 30 years, my first reaction was to challenge his claim that healthcare costs are nothing but a drag on jobs growth (after all, what's wrong with an industry that employs 1/5 of all American workers . . . many in what he defines as "good" jobs . . . in every single town and city in the country, improves health, and for the most part cannot be outsourced to China). Yet, in the end, I'm forced to agree with his points, even on healthcare. None of what I said in the parenthetical above mitigates the fact that taxpayers can no longer afford to shoulder the costs of replacing the knees and hips of 90 year olds, and obesity absolutely IS the number one health problem in our country, which needs immediate and aggressive intervention. Please read the book . . . but first put down your political biases , , , and just think about the significant likelihood that Mr. Clifton is doing something that our politicians simply cannot afford to do in the current electoral environment . . . he's telling it like it really is, whether any of us like it or not!

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Jumat, 11 Juli 2014

[Z758.Ebook] Get Free Ebook Project Management for Trainers, 2nd Edition, by Lou Russell

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Project Management for Trainers, 2nd Edition, by Lou Russell

Define a development project before you start planning the details.

A seat of the pants approach to project management is no longer viable. Today’s trainer is taking on truly unique projects—and often many at once. Whether you’re developing materials on unfamiliar topics or writing courses for others to deliver using new technology, now is the time to strengthen your project management process.

Seasoned learning and leadership expert Lou Russell offers a structured approach to moving projects from conception to completion. In Project Management for Trainers, you’ll discover how to maintain a clear focus on client goals no matter how many changes they request or how many people get involved. This refreshed second edition also guides you through managing consulting projects and suppliers.

This book is an essential guide to:
• Building a project charter to document business objectives, project objectives, scope, risks, and constraints.
• Creating a project schedule to determine task order, establish milestones and due dates, and assign task owners.
• Conducting a post-project review to capture lessons learned.

  • Sales Rank: #296000 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2015-10-30
  • Released on: 2015-10-30
  • Format: Kindle eBook

Review

“In Project Management for Trainers, Lou Russell offers a step-by-step guide with her characteristic ‘been there, done that’ candor. If you’re new to project management, this should be among the first books you read. If you’ve been around a while, this is a great tune-up and a source for new approaches when things go stale. The updates in this second edition keep the entire approach fresh and relevant.”

—Megan Torrance

CEO, TorranceLearning

Author, Quick Guide to Agile Project Management for Learning

 

“Once again Lou Russell has made the complex ideas in project management into easy and simple to understand guide. My team refers to this book in our development processes."

—Ray Jimenez

Chief Learning Architect and Founder, Vignettes Learning

 

“Lou Russell is my hero! In the reality of back-to-back meetings and endless in-flight training projects, it is easy to lose focus on the intent and design of our training programs as we manage the day-to-day. Project Management for Trainers provides readers with a wealth of techniques, guidance, advice, and case studies to help us better manage our projects while remaining intentional in our creation of performance changing learning programs. This book is a must-add to any training library.”

—Angel Green

Director, Talent & Learning, Coca-Cola Beverages of Florida

About the Author

Lou Russell is president and CEO of Russell Martin & Associates. She is the author of the ATD Press books Project Management for Trainers, Leadership Training and 10 Steps to Successful Project Management, among other titles. In addition to her many books, she contributes frequently to Computer World, Cutter Executive Reports, and Network World, among others, and publishes Learning Flash, an electronic newsletter.


Lou speaks at several national and international conferences, such as the Project Management Institute, Project World, and LotuSphere. She holds a bachelor's degree in computer science from Purdue University, where she taught database and programming classes, and a master's degree in instructional technology from Indiana University.

Most helpful customer reviews

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
It's a winner
By Elaine Biech
Lou has hit it out of the ballpark with this one. Everything and I do mean EVERYTHING a trainer--or anyone else for that matter--needs to know about project management from conception to completion is between these two covers. I read the pre-published copy, so I did not expect to enjoy it so much the second time. It was even a better! The graphics add clarity to a quick read helping you create a project charter, project schedule, post-project review and everything between. This book gets you started in the right direction and gives you the precision, competence, and confidence that will make your project a success. Lou Russell is the reigning queen of project management and this book is her crowning glory!

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Project Management
By Raquell
If you're looking to get into project management, this is a worthwhile book to have in your collection as a resource

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Rabu, 09 Juli 2014

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Hollywood Hellraisers: The Wild Lives and Fast Times of Marlon Brando, Dennis Hopper, Warren Beatty and Jack Nicholson

  • Published on: 1600
  • Binding: Paperback

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New Finance, The (4th Edition), by Robert A Haugen

The New Finance contains a comprehensive and organized collection of evidence and arguments that develop a persuasive case for an inefficient, complex and, at times, nearly chaotic stock market.

 

Search for the Grail; The Old Finance; How Long is the Short Run?; The Ancient Finance; The Past and the Future; The Race Between Value and Growth; Surprise or Risk Premium?; “Bearing” Risk in the Stock Market; The Holy Grail; The Real Determinants of Expected Stock Returns; Dangerous Conversation; Rational Finance, Behavioral Finance, and the New Finance; Final Words, 2008 Financial Crisis

 

MARKET: For readers interested in a unique perspective on making the case for the inefficient stock market.

  • Sales Rank: #527492 in Books
  • Published on: 2009-05-02
  • Ingredients: Example Ingredients
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.12" h x .39" w x 7.39" l, .60 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 160 pages

From the Back Cover

In this Third Edition, Robert Haugen focuses on the evidence, causes, and history of overreactive pricing in the stock market. He argues that, unlike the other social sciences, economic models aggregate from the assumed behaviors of individuals to predictions about market pricing. These models fail to capture the complexity of human interaction. In addition, Haugen argues that each interaction is entirely unique. The complexity and the uniqueness of interactions make it impossible to generalize from the preferences of individuals to meaningful conclusions about the structure and behavior of market prices. The logical conclusion: Both rational and behavioral economics should be reconsidered.

Bob Haugen is Professor Emeritus at the University of California, Irvine. He serves as Managing Partner to Haugen Custom Financial Systems, which licenses portfolio management software to pension funds, endowments, and institutional and high-net-worth money managers.

For further study on the author's unique approach to stock market analysis, read the entire Bob Hougen series, The Inefficient Stock Market, What Pays Off and Why, and Beast on Wall Street.

Visit www.prenhall.com/haugen for additional resources. Or go to www.newfinance.com.

About the Author
In this Third Edition, Robert Haugen focuses on the evidence, causes, and history of overreactive pricing in the stock market. He argues that, unlike the other social sciences, economic models aggregate from the assumed behaviors of individuals to predictions about market pricing. These models fail to capture the complexity of human interaction. In addition, Haugen argues that each interaction is entirely unique. The complexity and the uniqueness of interactions make it impossible to generalize from the preferences of individuals to meaningful conclusions about the structure and behavior of market prices. The logical conclusion: Both rational and behavioral economics should be reconsidered. Bob Haugen is Professor Emeritus at the University of California, Irvine. He serves as Managing Partner to Haugen Custom Financial Systems, which licenses portfolio management software to pension funds, endowments, and institutional and high-net-worth money managers. For further study on the author's unique approach to stock market analysis, read the entire Bob Hougen series, The Inefficient Stock Market, What Pays Off and Why, and Beast on Wall Street. Visit www.prenhall.com/haugen for additional resources. Or go to www.newfinance.com.

Excerpt. © Reprinted by permission. All rights reserved.

This work makes the case for an inefficient stock market, where the complexity and uniqueness of investor interactions has important market pricing implications.

The efficient market's paradigm is at the unlikely extreme end of a spectrum of possible states. As such, the burden of proof falls on its advocates. It is their burden to deflect the stones and arrows flung at the paradigm by the nonbelievers. It is their burden to reveal the inaccuracies of those who present evidence contending that the paradigm doesn't square with the facts.

Moreover, the case of market efficiency has been made many times by others. In fairness to the growing number of advocates for the other side, I present here, and in the two other books of this trilogy, Beast on Wall Street: How Stock Volatility Devours Our Wealth and The Inefficient Stock Market: What Pays Off and Why, a comprehensive and organized collection of the evidence and the arguments that constitute a strong and persuasive case for a complex and, at times, nearly chaotic stock market that overreacts to most things—in particular, to past records of success and failure on the part of business firms. It is a market that prices with great imprecision, with signals coming from the prices of other stocks as its dominant driver.

In the course of this work, I shall make a case for the following assertions:

  • Players in today's stock market persistently make a fundamental mistake—overreacting to records of success and failure on the part of business firms. This mistake was also made in the distant past, only to be rectified. Stock investors began making the mistake once again in the late 1950s, and they continue to make it today. Those who recognize the mistake can build stock portfolios, or find mutual funds, that will subsequently outperform the market averages.
  • Owing to the foregoing mistake, the stocks that can be expected to produce the highest returns in the future are the safest stocks. Risky stocks can be expected to produce the lowest returns!
  • Because of agency problems in the investment business, the opportunity that is there now is likely to remain there in the future.
  • Models in financial economics aggregate from assumed preferences to conclusions about market pricing. Game-theoretic models consider interactions among market participants, but given the preferences, wealth, information, and other aspects explicitly considered, responses to identical stimuli are presumed to be identical. The New Finance argues that each interaction must be considered as entirely unique, making aggregation, in any way, from the preferences and behaviors of interacting individuals to meaningful conclusions about the structure and behavior of market prices a meaningless exercise. Thus, both rational and behavioral economics need to be reconsidered.

Most helpful customer reviews

13 of 14 people found the following review helpful.
A Gem - Investing strategy supported with empirical analysis
By Tx Beekeeper
I followed a fundamental investing strategy for the past 10 years and have been frustrated many times by the market's seeming disregard for value. At times I entered positions only to have the underlying continue to irrationally drop further and longer than I could have imagined. When the market did recognize value in one of these positions I was faced with the decision of when to exit, @ fair value? fair value + 10%? ride momentum?

Haugen provides some of the best explanations (using empirical data) as to what is occurring in the market and how overreaction continues to drive the valuation of equities. Finally the underlying forces that lead people to pursue momentum and technical strategies are much clearer, possibly even exposed. His explanations of reversion to mean are excellent and a very useful tool to the investor.

My only frustration was the limited information provided on 'The Real Determinants of Expected Stock Returns'. Haugen cites 70 factors and provides the top 15. If you want to know more you'll have to have very deep pockets and use his investor service which is likely out of reach for most all readers (even though he states only independent investors can successfully follow his strategy). I didn't really expect him to provide a system for playing the market - if he had I would not have bought the book - but a deeper treatment on the determinants would have made the book much more valuable. I felt that there was somewhat a conflict of interest between the author and the author's investor service - however I am grateful that he chose to publish rather than keep all of the value locked up in his service.

In the end Haugen makes the case for better understanding behavioral finance to improve ones insight into the market. Unfortunately, this rather emerging field provides only more questions. I imagine many fans of technical trading would find this book interesting but would not change their strategy if only because the 'light is better' under the technical trading area. As a fundamental investor I gained insights that will help me avoid some of my weakest decisions ( especially buying emerging value too soon). Having spent several years developing experience in fundamental analysis I have more guidance in constructing a strategy that is time and cycle driven.

The book is worth rereading several times. I can imagine that the 12 chapters aligned nicely to a semester of lectures from when Haugen taught his university classes. Each chapter is challenging enough to send the reader off reading another book just to better understand that chapter. I suspect when I finish my second reading I will look back and find this review to have missed key points.

There is a lot of schlock out there in investment writing, this is a rare gem of empirical based analysis and insightful writing that is (just about) understandable by a non-academic investor.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Very useful for investors who already have the experience or education to appreciate the nuances
By William Vochoska
I read this book about 15 years ago. It was originally recommended to me by a professor who said it would be a nice counterpoint to the general wisdom I was being taught at the time. I found it refreshing to find someone challenging the idea of an efficient market. Haugen's overall approach made a great deal of sense, so I chose to follow his method with some of my own money.

It is difficult to follow all the advice, as often it seems impossible to identify stocks that meet the criteria for a good investment. Yet when I have been able to take the time to find appropriate stocks using this method, my returns have been good. Some of my stocks have gone bust, but the winners have definitely outweighed the losers. It's not a technique to get rich quickly, but I find it to be much more compelling than technical analysis or even other methods that focus on fundamentals.

This book is probably best used by well-educated or experienced investors who have become disillusioned by other methods, and therefore can appreciate a fresh perspective. I don't think it's useful for the novice investor who has no business background. It is important to have a broader base of knowledge about economics and business management in order to understand each stock in proper context. Without that foundational knowledge, there are just too many pitfalls for the average person to apply this knowledge effectively.

It is important to have a longer investment horizon than most people, and a greater tolerance for risk. These are basic concepts that are not limited to Haugen's book, but I have found them to be essential in order to apply his method effectively. One simply cannot invest in the kind of low-volatility stocks he recommends and expect them to suddenly shoot up in value within the next few months. It is best to accept that once you invest you may not be able to get your money out of the stock for 5, 10 or 20 years. Otherwise, you'll end up selling your losers too soon, cashing out the winners before they reach their full potential, and being stressed-out most of the time. On the other hand, once a stock reaches a certain price-to-book ratio, to remain faithful to this method you should sell it. This is also difficult.

In the spirit of full disclosure, I must admit that I haven't invested using this method for a few years. I've been building my own business and simply haven't had the time to do the research necessary to find the right stocks. Without the right stocks, the method doesn't work.

For those who have the proper background, temperament, time, and money to make proper use of the information in this book, I highly recommend it.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Prof Haugen have made great observations and done meaningful analysis that others had not ...
By Dong Song
Prof Haugen have made great observations and done meaningful analysis that others had not been able to. Haugen would not like to participate the modern finance theory too much because he does not trust it . I like his thesis and believe in Haugen's thesis, finance is about psychology statistics, and complexity. My university degree is math finance, but I never believe finance can be mathematicalized . It seems closed to physics, but it does at most partially.
It seems DM fund now added profitability factor into their new model , mentioning that they enjoy the new factor. The one was brought into Haugen's expected return model almost 20 years ago.

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